Gold and silver reacted as anticipated, but the unexpected strength in miners surprised me. Miners have a tendency to lead precious metals, so the sudden change got my attention. However, the reversal on Friday may have marked a top. We need to see follow-through to the downside to be sure. Prices closing above the […]
Continue Reading →Category: Weekend Newsletters
WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/24/2016
Silver closed below $15.80 on a weekly basis and selling could increase if daily prices close below $15.68. The optimal timing window for an 8-year cycle low is in February 2017. Selling should expand in the coming weeks if gold and silver are indeed dropping to new lows. Prices could consolidate a bit longer […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/10/2016
The Odds Favor A Potential Bottom For Gold Prices Next Week The last two months have been difficult for precious metal investors, and many have turned bearish. Prices have swung wildly in both directions whipsawing even experienced traders into submission. The charts have been difficult to decipher since October, to put it mildly. Nevertheless, […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/03/2016
Next week is critical for metals and miners Gold prices have been at a major inflection point for several weeks. There are two ways to interpret the current cycle count, one bullish and one temporarily bearish. The first suggests prices made an intermediate low Thursday at $1,162.20 and that the bull market is about to […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 11/19/2016
THE TALE OF TWO CYCLES We currently sit in a precarious position regarding the cycles I follow. The intermediate (6-month) gold cycle is the primary mechanism behind roughly 70% of our timing decisions and therefore a vital component of our system. Our medium-term outlook has fluctuated between bullish and bearish the last few weeks and […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 10/08/2016 (free)
There is a lot to cover in the Weekend Newsletter, so let’s get started. Technically speaking precious metals and miners have dropped far enough to form an intermediate cycle low. Several indicators are deeply oversold, and sentiment is turning bearish. These factors suggest a meaningful bottom could form around these levels. However, the Japanese […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 9/03/2016
We are getting a bounce in metals and miners, and this could last up to two weeks. I see some bullish potential in the metals charts and if my maximum bounce levels fail to hold I will need to reevaluate the situation. Several factors are pointing to an even deeper correction still, but it’s […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 8/19/2016
I’m flying out of town for a wedding in a few hours, so I finished the Weekend Newsletter early. The alternate scenario still has life, but we need to see some downward progress next week. Silver is closest to breaking down, and it may bring gold and miners with it. The dollar is key. […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 7/16/2016
Gold prices corrected after being up for six straight weeks; prices should turn back up soon. Silver and Miners had mild corrections compared to gold but should also turn higher next week. We expect prices to climb for another week or two before dropping into the second common cycle low of the larger 6-Month […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 4/30/2016
Gold aborted the head and shoulder pattern and made new cycle highs Friday. This development severely dampens the chances of new lows in gold and silver as previously forecast. I would say the odds support an 80% chance that the 8-year cycle in metals bottomed, and a new bull market has begun. However, buying now […]
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