Category: Updates

MINERS NEARING KEY RESISTANCE

Mon, 6 Feb 2017

  Miners are approaching key resistance levels, and they are entering another timing window where a top could form. A top isn’t guaranteed, so I won’t attempt shorting here. If prices begin to rollover, I’ll revise and update our correction targets.   -GDX- Prices are approaching triple resistance at the 50% retracement, 200-day MA, and […]

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ADP EMPLOYMENT UPDATE

Wed, 1 Feb 2017

  The ADP employment numbers revealed that 246,000 private sector jobs were created in January, compared to just 151,000 jobs in December. It appears small companies are gearing up for lower Trump tax rates, decreased regulation and perceived fiscal stimulus. This mindset is supporting stocks. A strong stock market is likely to put pressure on […]

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GOLD CYCLE UPDATE

Mon, 23 Jan 2017

  The common gold cycle usually averages between 22-26 trading days between turning points. I fully expected a cycle low to form this time, but it now looks like we will see a high instead. We are 24-trading days into the current cycle, and prices should top between now and Wednesday. Then prices should reach […]

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PRECIOUS METALS UPDATE

Tue, 17 Jan 2017

  Gold, Silver, and Miners are extending their cycles higher. The miners should gap up higher this morning, and this is the move I attempted to catch last week. I guess it was slightly delayed. Prices should seek out cycle highs this week. I will be watching the miners for clues throughout the day. How […]

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XAU MINING INDEX UPDATE

Tue, 6 Dec 2016

  Since August the XAU has displayed the following behavior. A sharp drop followed by a 14-day to 16-day correction that retraces between 50% and 61.8% of the previous decline. Today, prices hit the 50% retracement level and made a bearish reversal candle on the 15th day off the 75.54 low. Prices breaking below the […]

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THURSDAY REPORT 11/10/2016

Thu, 10 Nov 2016

  Things are looking rather poor at the moment for metal miners as the bearish scenario gains momentum. However, this scenario won’t be confirmed in miners until prices break below the neckline in GDX and the HUI. Then prices need to remain below the neckline during any bounce/rally for roughly 10-trading days. The senior mining […]

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POSSIBLE TRADE SETUP

Wed, 9 Nov 2016

  I might buy a little DUST if prices manage close above the trendline. Buying right now would require a stop below today’s low of $31.50 and that equates to a 20% risk; too high for me without a breakout. IF GDX drops to the bearish scenario target of $15.00-$16.00 (just a possibility right now […]

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GDX HEAD-AND-SHOULDER TOP UPDATE

Wed, 9 Nov 2016

  THE BEARISH HEAD-AND-SHOULDER TOP IN MINERS I think we can safely say we have our line in the sand. If prices drop below $23.43, they will likely break beneath the $22.50 neckline and continue to around $20.00 before bouncing. IF the bounce is unable to retake the $22.50 level (neckline), prices will drop to […]

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MEMBER UPDATE

Wed, 9 Nov 2016

  Trading is still dangerous until gold takes out $1,337-$1,348 and therefore invalidating the correlation pattern between the 2000 chart and now. Miners are going to gap up sharply this morning, and I would consider waiting for better prices or a pullback to enter positions. I don’t see this as a time to be fully […]

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ELECTION UPDATE

Tue, 8 Nov 2016

  Early polling shows key victories for Trump in Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina. With close races in Virgina and Pennsylvania. Wisconsin has unexpectedly turned Republican, and Michigan slightly favors Trump. These numbers give Trump a significant lead. Gold traded down to $1,267 and is now rallying sharply (currently $1,328), it may reach $1,400 this […]

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