This post was written from a long-term investment perspective; we are still expecting a correction into a June low. Investors need to be both mentally and physically prepared for the next chapter in gold and silver prices. If we’re correct, there will be a record amount of enthusiasm and prices will reach unthinkable levels; […]
Continue Reading →Metals and Miners appear to have finished their short-term rallies and the Fed minutes sparked a strong volume selloff like we thought possible. In Elliott Wave Terms: Miners completed their minor b-wave advance and a powerful c-wave lower to the June target area just ignited. -GDX- The rally from the $23.34 temporary low […]
Continue Reading →I wanted to update as prices are breaking short-term downtrend lines suggesting a temporary or common cycle low may be in for precious metals. IF this is the case prices will rise for a few days, maybe until Wednesday, perhaps around the time the Fed minutes are released, then things should roll over. […]
Continue Reading →Precious metals are close to confirming the start of a new bull run, but a little work still needs to be done. This post will focus on two possible scenarios, entry timing at the next low, and a simple buying strategy. LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE Before I get into the different scenarios, I want to […]
Continue Reading →The two-day bounce in metals and miners is over, and prices should resume trading lower tomorrow. The Miners and Gold made bearish engulfing candle patterns today; there could be follow-through lower tomorrow, perhaps sharply. Overall we expect prices to drop to the middle of June, around the time of the next Fed meeting. Then […]
Continue Reading →Forming a top can be quite the process, some cycles seem to drag out as Bulls and Bears fight for control. This cycle has topped, but there are still late comers (bulls) trying to buy, and volume is receding with each rally. Prices will trend lower over the next several weeks and are likely […]
Continue Reading →In the weekend newsletter, I assigned a 20% chance that the 8-year cycle low has not yet bottomed and that precious metals will make new lows later this year. We are now being presented with an opportunity for those odds to increase considerably if the US Dollar makes a significant reversal here. Combine this with […]
Continue Reading →I rarely mention the COT (commitment of traders) positions in my reports but felt it necessary to highlight recent developments. In the world of commodity trading, the commercial hedgers are viewed as the “Big Players” or the “Smart Money”, as a rule, it’s best to align your trading strategy with their purview. The commercial short […]
Continue Reading →Gold aborted the head and shoulder pattern and made new cycle highs Friday. This development severely dampens the chances of new lows in gold and silver as previously forecast. I would say the odds support an 80% chance that the 8-year cycle in metals bottomed, and a new bull market has begun. However, buying now […]
Continue Reading →The Fed held steady today and didn’t change their forecast in a dramatic way; Gold dropped slightly but was overall unchanged. Their next meeting will be in June; odds support a 20% chance of a rate hike at that time. The Bank of Japan meets tomorrow and will make an announcement regarding monetary policy; their […]
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