We are getting a bounce in metals and miners, and this could last up to two weeks. I see some bullish potential in the metals charts and if my maximum bounce levels fail to hold I will need to reevaluate the situation. Several factors are pointing to an even deeper correction still, but it’s […]
Continue Reading →Here is a quick gold cycle update. It appears we are rallying out of the third common cycle low. This rally could last up to ten trading days but be as little as four trading days. The intermediate cycle has already failed, topping at $1,377.50. I expect this rally to fail and break below […]
Continue Reading →I’m flying out of town for a wedding in a few hours, so I finished the Weekend Newsletter early. The alternate scenario still has life, but we need to see some downward progress next week. Silver is closest to breaking down, and it may bring gold and miners with it. The dollar is key. […]
Continue Reading →Prices shooting higher and then falling is a sign of distribution and selling into strength. This sometimes occurs before a price breakdown. Yesterday’s report cited a 70% chance of prices going lower into September. I would bump that number up to 76% today. I’m selling my short-term positions at these levels. If prices convince […]
Continue Reading →Another day of weakness in metals and miners. If gold is indeed forming a small bear flag, it should break lower by tomorrow or Monday. I’m assigning roughly 70% odds to the alternate scenario. If there isn’t a decisive breakout either higher or lower this lack of action could morph into a tedious sideways […]
Continue Reading →In the Weekend Newsletter I wrote, “If prices don’t show signs of a turn-around on Monday, I will sell my long positions or hedge my trades as I wait for clarity.” Prices are turning higher from the 10-day EMA keeping the bullish outlook. Nonetheless, I’m still on high alert after Friday and want to […]
Continue Reading →Prices are pulling back slightly as traders take profits and square positions before the Friday employment numbers. I’m expecting everything to hold above their 20-day averages (EMA’s) between now and Friday morning. Everything should turn higher for the remainder of August once the jobs numbers are behind us. -GDX- Prices may pullback a little […]
Continue Reading →There is further weakness in Gold, Silver, and Miners today revealing why they were unable to confirm lows last Friday. I expect the $1,300 level in gold to hold this week. Consecutive closes below $1,300 would suggest my cycle count is off, and I will need to adjust. I give that scenario low odds […]
Continue Reading →Gold prices corrected after being up for six straight weeks; prices should turn back up soon. Silver and Miners had mild corrections compared to gold but should also turn higher next week. We expect prices to climb for another week or two before dropping into the second common cycle low of the larger 6-Month […]
Continue Reading →Many things in life have a cyclical cadence to them. In nature, you will find that water has a cycle, a dominate nitrogen cycle, and even a carbon cycle. Economies unquestionably have a cyclical nature to them as well, fluctuating between periods of expansions and contraction. The business cycle is comprised of mechanisms such […]
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