Category: Free Updates


Fri, 19 Aug 2016

  I’m flying out of town for a wedding in a few hours, so I finished the Weekend Newsletter early. The alternate scenario still has life, but we need to see some downward progress next week. Silver is closest to breaking down, and it may bring gold and miners with it. The dollar is key. […]

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Mon, 8 Aug 2016

  In the Weekend Newsletter I wrote, “If prices don’t show signs of a turn-around on Monday, I will sell my long positions or hedge my trades as I wait for clarity.” Prices are turning higher from the 10-day EMA keeping the bullish outlook. Nonetheless, I’m still on high alert after Friday and want to […]

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UPDATE 8/03/2016

Wed, 3 Aug 2016

  Prices are pulling back slightly as traders take profits and square positions before the Friday employment numbers. I’m expecting everything to hold above their 20-day averages (EMA’s) between now and Friday morning. Everything should turn higher for the remainder of August once the jobs numbers are behind us. -GDX- Prices may pullback a little […]

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UPDATE 7/25/2016 11:31AM

Mon, 25 Jul 2016

  There is further weakness in Gold, Silver, and Miners today revealing why they were unable to confirm lows last Friday. I expect the $1,300 level in gold to hold this week. Consecutive closes below $1,300 would suggest my cycle count is off, and I will need to adjust. I give that scenario low odds […]

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Fri, 15 Jul 2016

  Many things in life have a cyclical cadence to them. In nature, you will find that water has a cycle, a dominate nitrogen cycle, and even a carbon cycle. Economies unquestionably have a cyclical nature to them as well, fluctuating between periods of expansions and contraction. The business cycle is comprised of mechanisms such […]

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Tue, 5 Jul 2016

  I like to update when a noteworthy event occurs. Well, today 10-year Treasury yields dropped to a historical and new low; they will continue to fall until late this year. Negative interest rates (Germany, Japan, and Switzerland, etc.) provoked a rush into the higher yielding U.S. Treasuries, consequently pushing yields lower. We expect yields […]

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Fri, 1 Jul 2016

GOLD PRICES: THE ROAD TO $10,000 I’ve been hesitant to approve the December 3rd $1,045.40 low as the official 8-year cycle bottom. Nevertheless, gold price closed the second quarter (Q2) above my long-held benchmark (16-Quarter MA) reassuring me that the 4-year bear market in precious metals is over. Warnings were lifted, and gold prices have […]

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Wed, 29 Jun 2016

  Prices made a new closing high today. However, they never closed below the 10-day EMA in mid-June, potentially a sign of strength. Recent cycles have topped after 21-days, and we are currently on day 20. Despite making the new high, I’m not sure prices will stay there for long. I will be watching for […]

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Tue, 21 Jun 2016

  To no surprise, everything is lining up to either breakout higher or breakdown this week. I think bullish sentiment is very high, and the corrections into the May low’s seemed inadequate. Whichever way prices break following the Brexit vote will┬ádetermine if the 6-month cycle bottomed in late May or if this move has been […]

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10-Year Treasury Yields (free)

Thu, 16 Jun 2016

  There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year Treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down to 1% (currently 1.53%).   U.S. Mortgage rates should continue lower until yields bottom. Yields should bottom in early 2017.

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