I’m going to start by revisiting the University of Michigan consumer sentiment numbers. There’s a lot to digest in the first chart, but if you study it, I think you’ll see the powerful inverse correlation with gold. Next week should be interesting. Monday and Tuesday will set the tone for the week. I’ll post […]
Continue Reading →Little changed from the previous update. Gold, Silver, and GDXJ all broke their October 31st pivot lows, GDX hasn’t. The setup for a sharp 3-5 day decline remains. However, if it’s going to happen, it should occur relatively soon. Like I said, maybe gold needs to fall below $1200 before we see a significant […]
Continue Reading →We are getting some downside price action in metals and miners today. I’m pretty confident this is the beginning of the November decline that should lead to a December bottom. At the moment, I do not see the sharp down swing in miners I felt was possible. That may change later today or on […]
Continue Reading →We are getting some downside follow-through after yesterdays Fed announcement. Gold (December) is below the $1213 low set last week. Silver is back below the $14.25 level. I imagine we will see miners gap lower at the open. If this is the collapse described in the GDX bull trap update, then we should see […]
Continue Reading →The seasonal pattern in gold supports an October high, a November decline, and a December Bottom. It looks like we got the October high at $1246. Next, we should see a November decline. I figured Tuesday’s elections or today’s Fed statement could trigger a potential selloff. If prices aren’t heading lower tomorrow, then we […]
Continue Reading →Gold fell below $1223 (currently $1222), and prices appear to be slipping after today’s Fed announcement. The next vital levels reside at $1218 and $1212. -GDX- If we are going to see a November breakdown, it should begin soon. If prices aren’t heading decisively lower by tomorrow or Monday, then we could be stuck […]
Continue Reading →There was very little change in the Fed statement. A hike is expected in December and more in 2019. Gold initially spiked higher – then lower, and prices are back to where they started (currently $1225). Gold would have to drop below $1223 and then $1218 to support a near-term breakdown. Rallying above $1230 […]
Continue Reading →Metals and miners are bouncing into the 2:00 PM Fed announcement. The setup for a November breakdown appears valid, but maybe I was tricked again. Let’s see what prices do after 2:00 PM. -GDXJ- Miners are bouncing a little going into the 2:00 PM Fed announcement. Let’s see how prices close. If prices continue […]
Continue Reading →Here’s a trade I’m thinking about this morning. Miners have been tricky, so I remain cautious and somewhat skeptical. I’m looking to buy JDST around the open anticipating a November breakdown in metals and miners. I’m going to keep a short leash on this trade, however, and will exit if JDST closes below $72.00. […]
Continue Reading →The stock market has been a little easier to forecast lately than gold and silver. I’m not sure why…maybe it’s because metals are so easily manipulated. Nevertheless, I think the market provided some clues today. Tomorrow’s price action could confirm. It looks like the stock market is heading higher and precious metals are about […]
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