Remember the green Fed-Day arrows? Gold initially broke lower on Wednesday, reversed, and then overtook the upper Fed arrow ($1258.40). Prices remained above $1265 for a time, and it looked like gold was headed higher. Gold is now back below the upper arrow. And if prices continue lower and slip below $1,245, we would […]
Continue Reading →Category: Updates
MORNING NOTE 10:30 AM
Stocks are trying to rally. Closing above yesterday’s high 250.16 would establish a swing low and support the potential for an undercut bottom. Not much to report concerning metals and miners. They are more or less unchanged from yesterday. Their next move depends on the stock market. If stocks bottom, then gold should begin […]
Continue Reading →MINING UPDATE 11:15 AM
Here’s another example of a massive reversal day like we had in miners yesterday. Prices bounced the following day but quickly turned back lower. I expect the same result this time. Miners would have to close above yesterday’s $21.47 high to unwind the bearish reversal. Yesterday’s reversal dwarfs the one from January in both […]
Continue Reading →JDST STOP UPDATE
Change of plans. I’m lowering my stop on JDST to below yesterday’s $52.53 low. I’m tired of this market bullying investors, and I’m willing to risk a lower stop.
Continue Reading →MORNING NOTE
Markets reversed somewhat overnight, and it looks like the dollar is breaking down. Gold is back above the Fed announcement level, and prices look poised to exceed yesterday’s high ($1,262.20). Remember, key resistance continues between $1266 – $1270. It would take a weekly close above $1270 to support a year-end run to $1300 – […]
Continue Reading →CLOSING REPORT 12/19/2018
It took some time to get the answers, but it looks like metals and miners just peaked. The Fed was not as dovish as they sounded back in November. Miners surged into resistance and reversed suddenly. GDX nearly nailed the ABC target on the head. The huge post-Fed selling in miners typically registers a […]
Continue Reading →LOOKS LIKE A TOP 3:00 PM
-GDX- Prices are overbought, at multiple resistance levels and reversing. The conventional signs point to a top. If confirmed, I’ll expect a decline to fresh lows and a sustainable bottom in early 2019. -GDXJ- This should end the ABC flat correction. If true, then I’ll expect better prices early next year. Markets have been […]
Continue Reading →HAWKISH FED 2:09 PM
I think the Fed was more hawkish than most expected. They hiked rates 0.25% and see two additional hikes next year (instead of three). They lowered their neutral target from 3% to 2.8%. Their goal is to run one hike above neutral and stop in 2019. This news should be bearish for precious metals […]
Continue Reading →PRE-FED NOTE 1:20 PM
Miners continue to selloff, and the ABC correction appears complete. Of course, it’s too soon to know for sure. To restore the bullish posture – miners would have to reverse course after the Fed announcement and close above today’s high $21.47. The Fed announces at 2:00, I’ll post again around 2:20 PM (EST).
Continue Reading →GOLD MINERS UPDATE 11:40 AM
At the moment it looks like miners hit the precise C-wave target cited yesterday and topped. Let’s see what happens after the Fed announces. I said today would be volatile. Juniors reversed hard as well. Let’s see how they finish.
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