Category: Updates

AFTERNOON UPDATE 1:47 PM

Thu, 25 Oct 2018

  It appears earnings are causing the route in miners. Newmont Mining (NEM) fell more than 8% to $29.12 in midday trading Thursday, after the company reported a loss of $145 million, or 27 cents a share, during the third quarter, compared with profits of $206 million, or 38 cents a share, a year earlier. […]

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GDX UPDATE

Thu, 25 Oct 2018

  Remember the neckline from the inverse head and shoulder pattern? Sometimes prices will sink to backtest that level before turning back higher (called a throwback). The neckline currently rests between $19.00 – $19.10. If prices decisively break that level then only the $18.71 gap and cycle trendline remain. Let’s see what happens at the […]

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OPENING NOTE

Thu, 25 Oct 2018

  Gold is more or less flat from yesterday (around $1232), but GDX is down 2.65%. Prices are coming into support at the 20/50 day crossover and the $19.25 level. I’m not sure if this is another fakeout and prices will reverse or if this is the beginning of a legitimate breakdown. I’m leaning towards […]

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MORNING BRIEF

Thu, 25 Oct 2018

  December gold reached an overnight high of $1242. Prices are currently trading back near the $1235 level. Gold remains buoyant as a safe-haven as the stock market falters. Prices may continue higher if stocks remain weak. Gold would have to break below $1228 and then $1222 to support a downswing. I think there is […]

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AFTERNOON UPDATE

Wed, 24 Oct 2018

  -GDX- Miners are below yesterday’s lows, and we could get a swing high. However, I’d like to see miners close below Monday’s $19.68 low before advising an October top. With the elections less than 2-weeks way, prices could stay rangebound into early November. -SPY- It looks like stocks want to drop a little further […]

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MORNING NOTE

Wed, 24 Oct 2018

  The dollar is up 0.58%, and it looks like prices are breaking out above the inverse head and shoulder neckline. The reaction in gold has been mild. December gold is down a few dollars (currently $1229.70). Gold would have to decline and close below the $1220 level to support a top. I’ll update after […]

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STOCK MARKET UPDATE 3:12 PM

Tue, 23 Oct 2018

  Stocks reversed the massive morning gap and are trading back near the 200-day MA. There’s a lot of trading left so anything can happen between now and the close. Nevertheless, finishing the day above the 200-day MA would be potentially bullish. However, to recommend a bottom, prices would have to close above the 10-day […]

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MORNING UPDATE 8:45 AM

Tue, 23 Oct 2018

  The stock market declined sharply overnight, and gold is breaking out of its consolidation pattern (currently $1241). We could be witnessing an undercut low in stocks. If correct, prices should reach fresh correction lows and bottom sometime this week. That’s my guess at the moment; price action needs to confirm. Miners are set to […]

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AFTERNOON UPDATE 2:20 PM

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

  Juniors tagged the 10-day EMA and reversed. The bullish flag pattern remains intact. Closing below the 10-day would hurt the bull flag setup. If prices are going to break higher, they need to do so within the next few trading days, or the pattern will fall apart. I considered removing my JDST hedge to […]

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