Markets want to know if the Fed will cut rates in 2019. Currently, markets are pricing in about a 41% chance of at least one rate-cut in 2019. They announce Wednesday; no rate hike/cut is expected. GDX UPDATE–> Gold and miners may get a little tricky before Wednesday’s Fed announcement. Closing below $20.20 […]
Continue Reading →-US DOLLAR- The dollar is a little overbought. However, it looks like prices broke above 5-month resistance at 97.70. Progressive closes above 98.00 would confirm. If established, that would likely keep the pressure on precious metals. -GOLD WEEKLY- The weekly gold chart reveals an extensive consolidation starting after the initial surge to $1377 in […]
Continue Reading →Platinum could be working on a breakout. Prices pulled back and successfully retested the $880 level. A rally above $930 would trigger a breakout above the medium-term trendline. The 200-day MA is beginning to turn up. Maintaining $880 is critical.
Continue Reading →I’m still not convinced gold and silver are breaking down, just yet. The 4-hour gold chart is trying to reverse near the $1275 level. An intra-day bullish engulfing candle formed after gold struck $1273. The MACD (bottom indicator) is crossing over bullishly with a mildly positive divergence. 4-HOUR GOLD CHART: To support a […]
Continue Reading →Good Morning, I get the sense metals, and miners will either find support near $1275 and bounce or break directly lower within the next few days. Scenario 1) Upside target between $1360 – $1380 Scenario 2) Downside target between $1225 – $1250 I’ll update again later.
Continue Reading →Here are my thoughts on bitcoin. Prices could rebound to the $5500-$6000 area. Overall, I think prices will grind sideways between $3000 – $6000 for several months. At some point, prices will break below $3000 and test $1000. It would take a high-volume move above $8000 to restore a bullish tone. https://cryptowat.ch/markets/bitfinex/btc/usd/1d
Continue Reading →That may have been it for the 1-3 day bounce. It looks like the next stop for GDX is $20.50. Let’s see how we close.
Continue Reading →Markets are consolidating their recent moves; there was little to update today. I get the sense that markets are awaiting another news event — namely direction concerning Trump’s trade war with China. A favorable deal for both parties would presumably increase commodity demand and global growth. That would have a positive effect on commodities. […]
Continue Reading →April gold is below $1310 and tested $1305 this morning. Prices are bouncing slightly, currently at $1312.11. Closing today above $1315 would support a bounce. Declining below $1305 and then $1300 could trigger a sharp selloff. -GDX- The morning gap was filled within the first 30-minutes of trading. Closing above $22.40 today would […]
Continue Reading →Several factors support February tops in both metals and miners. A 2 to 4 week correction into the March 20th Fed meeting seems fitting. There is significant support in gold between $1300 and $1310 that may prove challenging. Breaking that critical level would imply a March $1260 target. -US DOLLAR- The dollar has […]
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