The common gold cycle usually averages between 22-26 trading days between turning points. I fully expected a cycle low to form this time, but it now looks like we will see a high instead. We are 24-trading days into the current cycle, and prices should top between now and Wednesday. Then prices should reach […]
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PRECIOUS METALS UPDATE
Gold, Silver, and Miners are extending their cycles higher. The miners should gap up higher this morning, and this is the move I attempted to catch last week. I guess it was slightly delayed. Prices should seek out cycle highs this week. I will be watching the miners for clues throughout the day. How […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/31/2016
Gold and silver reacted as anticipated, but the unexpected strength in miners surprised me. Miners have a tendency to lead precious metals, so the sudden change got my attention. However, the reversal on Friday may have marked a top. We need to see follow-through to the downside to be sure. Prices closing above the […]
Continue Reading →THURSDAY REPORT 12/29/2016
Gold and silver are bouncing modestly out of the oversold conditions. I was anticipating gold prices to remain below $1,170 and silver below $16.60. Miners, on the other hand, have exceeded my expectations for an oversold rally and could be signaling a bottom. If the miners take out key levels (outlined below), I’ll change […]
Continue Reading →TUESDAY REPORT 12/27/2016
The probabilities favor precious metals sinking further into a major 8-year cycle low. Traditional cycle timing suggests a bottom by the first quarter of 2017, most likely in February. If this is the case, then selling should expand during the next down leg; particularly in silver as it catches up to gold. Silver prices […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/24/2016
Silver closed below $15.80 on a weekly basis and selling could increase if daily prices close below $15.68. The optimal timing window for an 8-year cycle low is in February 2017. Selling should expand in the coming weeks if gold and silver are indeed dropping to new lows. Prices could consolidate a bit longer […]
Continue Reading →THURSDAY REPORT 12/22/2016
As a technical analyst, I formulate market opinions and anticipate price behavior that aligns with my interpretation. If things don’t unfold in as projected, then my outlook may need altering. Below are my current expectations. If we are dropping into an 8-year cycle low, I’d expect to see increased selling in silver and miners […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/10/2016
The Odds Favor A Potential Bottom For Gold Prices Next Week The last two months have been difficult for precious metal investors, and many have turned bearish. Prices have swung wildly in both directions whipsawing even experienced traders into submission. The charts have been difficult to decipher since October, to put it mildly. Nevertheless, […]
Continue Reading →XAU MINING INDEX UPDATE
Since August the XAU has displayed the following behavior. A sharp drop followed by a 14-day to 16-day correction that retraces between 50% and 61.8% of the previous decline. Today, prices hit the 50% retracement level and made a bearish reversal candle on the 15th day off the 75.54 low. Prices breaking below the […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER 12/03/2016
Next week is critical for metals and miners Gold prices have been at a major inflection point for several weeks. There are two ways to interpret the current cycle count, one bullish and one temporarily bearish. The first suggests prices made an intermediate low Thursday at $1,162.20 and that the bull market is about to […]
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