Gold prices are within striking distance of the all-time high set in 2011 ($1923). In my opinion, it would be unusual for prices to breakout to new all-time highs on the first try (typically there is a prolonged consolidation). Consequently, I still think prices could peak and begin a correction back towards $1550. Note: […]
Continue Reading →Futures reached an intraday high of $1807.70 before sinking back below $1800 (currently $1778). As long as prices stay below $1820, a top is becoming possible. To help promote a top, I’d like to see prices first close below $1770, but a breakdown below $1750 is needed to confirm. GOLD DAILY TARGET: To support […]
Continue Reading →-GDX- Miners gapped above the $34.00 price level and the short-term trendline. If today’s gap holds (prices stays above $34.00), we could have a short-term breakout. Reminder- A top in gold is possible this week if futures fail to breakout above $1800.
Continue Reading →I think metals and miners are approaching a cycle top. Silver has been leading gold higher, and that often happens at the end of an intermediate-term advance. To extend the current advance, gold would have to break decisively above $1800 and silver above $21.23 (the 2016 high). With the stock market’s rebounding, fear and […]
Continue Reading →The market meltdown in March skewed the cycle for gold. Initially, I expected a cycle low at the end of May. Now, I think the sequence may be inverting, and we could get a top at the end of May instead. I’ll be on the lookout for a marginal break above the April $1788.80 […]
Continue Reading →The stock market continues to price in a V-shaped recovery, which I find very unlikely. More and more companies are filing for bankruptcy every week, and I see that trend continuing. The destruction to the economy will likely take one to two years to fully realize. What we are witnessing is something called creative […]
Continue Reading →-GDX- Miners are at critical resistance. Prices closed above the gap and above the $25.50 level, but below the 50-day EMA. If this is a convincing rebound, as I suspect, then prices should turn lower by tomorrow or Friday. A powerful surge above the 200-day would imply a breakout, and I’d consider a long position. […]
Continue Reading →The urge to jump into gold and miners may be overwhelming for some investors. I suggest caution as the first wave of bottom pickers usually regret their decision. I’ve been doing this for a while, and I’ve seen massive swings in precious metals. Through experience, I learned to be patient and to wait for […]
Continue Reading →Several miners and silver companies are rallying or near positive territory despite sharply lower precious metals (paper price). Premiums on bullion have jumped. I want to see if the morning boost is just a gap fill or real demand. It was a long scary weekend for people. So, if it’s just retail traders freaking […]
Continue Reading →In an unexpected move ON Sunday, the Federal Reserve announced it is dropping its benchmark interest rate to zero (was 1.00%) and will be launching a new round of quantitative easing. The QE program will provide $500-billion worth of asset purchases, including Treasury’s and mortgage-backed securities. It’s unclear what this will do to the […]
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