Gold remains stuck in consolidation/correction mode, and this can be frustrating to some investors. At times like this, it is crucial to remain focused on the long-term goal. Our primary forecast still expects a minimum target of $8500, likely by 2028. The financial crisis that began in 2020 is far from over. It […]
Continue Reading →Much of the stimulus money sent out to Americans has made its way into the stock market. This is creating the divergence we see between “the markets” and the “real economy.” The bubble in stocks could end badly, for some investors. In April 2020, the personal savings rate for Americans spiked to a record […]
Continue Reading →I’ve grown a little bearish over the near-term, given the excessive bullishness I see in options buying and retail trading. High flyers like Tesla and Bitcoin are not driven by fundamentals, but by speculation and excess liquidity. This extreme risk-taking leaves the markets vulnerable to a sharp correction, in my opinion. It seems […]
Continue Reading →-DOLLAR DAILY- I think the dollar is experiencing a meaningful devaluation. Prices are extremely overdue for a bounce, but the trend pushes persistently lower. The final area of support arrives at the 2018 low of 88.15. If that level fails, I believe the USD could collapse to 80 by April/May 2021. -DOLLAR MONTHLY- We […]
Continue Reading →It is looking more and more like gold prices probably bottom in November, and we are climbing a wall of worry. Silver and platinum are beginning to lead the sector higher, suggesting a rotation out of gold and into the more leveraged, smaller sectors. This theory also explains the underperformance in GDX. It looks […]
Continue Reading →Reminder: U.S. Markets close at 1:00 PM today and won’t reopen until Monday, December 28, 2020. Because Markets are closed Friday for Christmas, tonight’s report will act as the Weekend Newsletter. The stimulus saga continues. President Trump is asking for $2000 payments to individuals versus $600. Congress could amend the bill and vote […]
Continue Reading →After painting a somewhat dire picture in my global depression article, I wanted to expand on the developments that have me concerned. It’s clear to me that the retail trading frenzy is reaching extremes. Typically, this type of behavior precedes a collapse. I don’t know what, and I don’t know when, but the market seems […]
Continue Reading →As an analyst, I am continually looking for rogue waves and black swan events. In my experience, it is the crisis we do not see coming that hurts us most. Over the last few months, I have seen and heard some things that now have me concerned. I will describe them below, and you […]
Continue Reading →Gold prices are rolling over, and I see the potential for a bearish breakdown as soon as next week. If gold breaks below $1850 sooner than later, that could open the door for an extended correction into December. Overall, precious metals are in structural bull markets, and sharp pullbacks are considered long-term buying opportunities. […]
Continue Reading →There is a significant uptick in coronavirus cases, and lockdowns are resuming. The likelihood of a double-dip recession is increasing, and we could see another sharp selloff in stocks. The 1980 pattern in the Dow is very similar to what’s transpiring now. If the stock market peaks next week like it did in 1980, […]
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