Author: admin

THURSDAY GOLD FORECAST APRIL 15, 2021

Thu, 15 Apr 2021

    After a prolonged decline, gold miners continue to show signs of strength.  The charts below support an intermediate breakout and a renewed uptrend in precious metals.  If gold bottomed, as defined, it should stairstep its way back towards the $2000 level over the coming weeks/months.      If you’re new to precious metals, […]

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BULLISH RECOGNITION DAY IN MINERS?

Thu, 15 Apr 2021

    -GDX- We may (finally) be getting the long-awaited bullish recognition day in miners. To strengthen this view, I’d like to see a stable close above $36.00.   -NEM- We are getting a robust move in Newmont above the March high as well as the intermediate trendline. By all measures, it looks like a […]

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MORNING GOLD UPDATE 9:14 AM

Fri, 9 Apr 2021

GOLD 4-HOUR CHART: Gold (currently $1732.80) was unable to break above resistance surrounding $1760 on the first attempt. Prices are pulling back and should find support between $1720 – $1740. It would take a sustained breakdown below $1715 to propose a deeper pullback. Otherwise, I’ll look for prices to stabilize and prepare for the next […]

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MORNING GOLD UPDATE 8:00 AM

Fri, 12 Mar 2021

  Gold is back down to the $1700 level (currently $1703.50) as the 10-year yield pushes back towards the critical 1.60% level. I still think gold is probably near a bottom, but more downside remains possible if yields spike toward 2.0% near-term.   The jump in yields could be just a knee-jerk reaction to the […]

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GDX UPDATE (POSSIBLE BOTTOM) 8:45 AM

Thu, 11 Mar 2021

  Building off last night’s GDX update, I wanted to point out additional similarities between 2016 and now.  GDX 2016 CORRECTION: After a very sharp rise in 2016, miners entered a multi-month corrective phase. The 2020 pattern is following a similar path and could confirm a bottom soon.  Note: The third and final breakdown (below […]

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MARKET UPDATE 11:32 AM

Thu, 4 Mar 2021

  The SPY is very close to testing last week 378 low. The market remains vulnerable to a potential breakdown into mid-March, similar to 12-months ago.  Potential Breakdown Triggers: Senate negotiations over the $1.9 trillion stimulus turn negative or spiking interest rates are the obvious choices.  I don’t know if prices will break lower, but the […]

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WEEKEND GOLD FORECAST FEBRUARY 21, 2021

Sun, 21 Feb 2021

  The gold cycle indicator finished the week at 11. It dipped briefly to zero on Friday when gold reached $1759, but prices recovered before the US open. Consequently, we never reached an official zero reading during normal trading hours.    In this week’s newsletter, I’ll cover the Fed, Interest Rates, and Asset Bubbles briefly.  […]

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GOLD NEARING PRE-COVID HIGHS

Thu, 18 Feb 2021

  Gold has been in a downtrend since August 2020. Investors are turning bearish, and we could see a selling climax in the coming days. Our gold cycle indicator is near its maximum bullish reading, and we expect a bottom forthwith.   It’s important to note that gold is approaching its pre-Covid (February 2020) high […]

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MORNING GOLD UPDATE 8:33 AM

Wed, 17 Feb 2021

  I believe gold (currently $1776) will test and likely undercut the November low in the next few days. That should usher in a bottom as the remaining weak hands exit their positions. I see good support around $1740, but prices could spike a bit lower temporarily.

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METALS UPDATE 8:52 AM

Tue, 9 Feb 2021

  -GOLD CYCLE UPDATE- Both the September and November lows arrived about 45-trading days apart. Last Thursday’s breakdown to $1784.60 occurred 45-days after the November low. Closing back above the 50-day EMA (currently $1858.67) would prescribe a successful retest of the November low and the beginning of the next uptrend.   Gold futures (currently $1845) […]

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