The Dollar and Gold remain near potential reversal levels. The daily RSI (14) in the Dollar dropped below 20 last week, supporting the potential for a near-term bottom. Gold is above $2000, and we could see prices spike higher over the next 72-hours. Friday’s employment report could be the trigger event. We are in […]
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GOLD AND DOLLAR UPDATE
I see the potential for a spike high in gold this week. The days surrounding Friday’s employment report are crucial. If the dollar bottoms around 92, that could trigger a multi-week correction in gold, potentially severe. The US dollar spiked to 103.96 during the March liquidation. Prices are down over 10% from that peak; […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER JULY 26, 2020
Gold prices are within striking distance of the all-time high set in 2011 ($1923). In my opinion, it would be unusual for prices to breakout to new all-time highs on the first try (typically there is a prolonged consolidation). Consequently, I still think prices could peak and begin a correction back towards $1550. Note: […]
Continue Reading →GOLD PRICE UPDATE
Futures reached an intraday high of $1807.70 before sinking back below $1800 (currently $1778). As long as prices stay below $1820, a top is becoming possible. To help promote a top, I’d like to see prices first close below $1770, but a breakdown below $1750 is needed to confirm. GOLD DAILY TARGET: To support […]
Continue Reading →MORNING GDX UPDATE
-GDX- Miners gapped above the $34.00 price level and the short-term trendline. If today’s gap holds (prices stays above $34.00), we could have a short-term breakout. Reminder- A top in gold is possible this week if futures fail to breakout above $1800.
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER MAY 31, 2020
I think metals and miners are approaching a cycle top. Silver has been leading gold higher, and that often happens at the end of an intermediate-term advance. To extend the current advance, gold would have to break decisively above $1800 and silver above $21.23 (the 2016 high). With the stock market’s rebounding, fear and […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER MAY 17, 2020
The market meltdown in March skewed the cycle for gold. Initially, I expected a cycle low at the end of May. Now, I think the sequence may be inverting, and we could get a top at the end of May instead. I’ll be on the lookout for a marginal break above the April $1788.80 […]
Continue Reading →WEEKEND NEWSLETTER MAY 10, 2020
The stock market continues to price in a V-shaped recovery, which I find very unlikely. More and more companies are filing for bankruptcy every week, and I see that trend continuing. The destruction to the economy will likely take one to two years to fully realize. What we are witnessing is something called creative […]
Continue Reading →EDUCATIONAL METALS PORTFOLIO
The Educational Metals Portfolio is a long-term accumulation strategy designed to reduce trading stress and improve long-term gains. The Educational Metals Portfolio is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Consult a licensed and qualified professional before making any investment […]
Continue Reading →CLOSING UPDATE
-GDX- Miners are at critical resistance. Prices closed above the gap and above the $25.50 level, but below the 50-day EMA. If this is a convincing rebound, as I suspect, then prices should turn lower by tomorrow or Friday. A powerful surge above the 200-day would imply a breakout, and I’d consider a long position. […]
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