Gold futures broke higher from the consolidation pattern reaching $1531.50 intraday (currently $1523). Gold miners (GDX) are down 1.11% as I write and making fresh intraday lows. The non-confirmation is a warning. Gold would have to extend above $1535 to maintain today’s short-term breakout. Slipping back below $1510 would signal a potential top.
Continue Reading →Wednesday’s surge in gold above $1500 was fueled by stock market fears and a capitulating bond market. The 10-year treasury yield crashed to 1.59% on Wednesday, and an interim low is likely. TREASURY YIELDS CAPITULATE: The move below 1.95% in 10-year treasury yields triggered multiple capitulation signals. The selloff reached a panic extreme […]
Continue Reading →The June breakout above $1370 signaled a new bull market in gold. The initial surge took gold to $1442.90 before prices entered a running consolidation. A “running consolidation” has an upward bias due to enthusiastic buying versus a traditional downward sloping correction. Monday’s close above $1470 registered a short-term breakout, and this wave higher […]
Continue Reading →What a wild day. After reaching $1412 this morning, gold prices began to bounce. Prices were near $1430 around 1:30 when the Trump administration announced additional tariffs of China starting in September. The stock market reversed suddenly and gold jumped an additional $25.00 before the 4:00 PM close. It’s impossible to predict these events, […]
Continue Reading →Ray Dalio released an excellent article last week concerning longer-term investment themes and paradigm shifts. He breaks down each decade, starting with the 1920s and the various economic factors that shaped capital flows. In a nutshell, each decade has its own investment theme. For example, from 2010 until now, the stock market has been […]
Continue Reading →Gold broke free from the triangle consolidation, and silver exceeded the January/February double top. There’s little doubting a new bull market in gold. To establish a bull market in silver, I’d like to see prices exceed the 2018 high ($17.70). Miners responded positively, and each is near or exceeded their June measuring gap targets. […]
Continue Reading →-GDX- Miners appear to be breaking higher as spot gold is testing the upper triangle boundary near $1425. -GOLD 4-HOUR CHART- Miners and silver are leading gold higher. To confirm the next up leg in metals, gold needs to close decisively above $1425 and then take out the June $1442.90 high. Failure to make […]
Continue Reading →The consolidation in gold appears to be taking the form of a triangle pattern. Closing above $1425 would recommend an upside breakout. Downside support arrives between $1385 and $1390. Silver exceeded its June high and prices are showing subtle signs of life. For the last 8-years, silver has peaked in the first half of […]
Continue Reading →The 4-hour spot gold chart may be morphing into a triangle consolidation. If correct, then gold should hold support between $1380 – $1390 and eventually breakout above $1425 to new highs. In the meantime, silver and platinum are playing catchup exceeding their June highs.
Continue Reading →The July 31 Fed announcement is shaping up to be a pivotal event. I think it will either validate a breakout in US stocks or send prices sharply lower. If stocks continue to rally after the Fed decision, then we will likely see an advancing uptrend and energy stocks and oil may begin to […]
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