Category: Free Updates

SILVER – THE NEXT BIG ADVANCE

Fri, 20 Sep 2019

  At the beginning of a bull market silver commonly lags gold prices – that’s nothing new. The lag lasts about a year before silver goes on an epic run to catch its big brother. The breakout in gold above $1400 started the countdown to an explosive move in silver that could begin later this […]

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Gold – The $1490 Level Is Critical (free update)

Tue, 17 Sep 2019

  Gold futures are holding support around $1500 ahead of tomorrow’s Fed decision. Our intermediate cycle work supports a correction into October or November. A breakdown below $1490 in gold futures would signal the next leg lower in precious metals. Intermediate corrections are natural. In gold, prices tend to bottom about every 6-months (give or […]

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Gold – The Next Great Buying Opportunity (free update)

Mon, 9 Sep 2019

  Gold confirmed a new bull market in June 2019. The current cycle likely peaked last week after surging nearly $300 since May. Next, we should get a multi-week correction into October/November and perhaps a backtest of the breakout area surrounding $1380.   COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: The commercials (smart money) are positioned heavily against gold […]

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WEEKEND REPORT AUGUST 25, 2019

Sun, 25 Aug 2019

  The trade war between the U.S. and China escalated Friday when China announced new tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. goods. Trump retaliated and ordered U.S. companies to find an “alternative” to operating in China. Later, President Trump announced he would raise tariffs on $250-billion of Chinese imports from 25% to 30% starting October […]

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Gold Prices – The Big Picture

Mon, 19 Aug 2019

  With gold confirming a new bull market, it’s time to step back and look at the big picture. Using technical analysis, I’ll provide potential price objectives for the next decade. It seems each decade has an investment theme that favors one asset class over another. What performed well over the last decade generally underperforms […]

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WEEKEND REPORT AUGUST 18, 2019

Sun, 18 Aug 2019

  Recession fears are spiking. The 10-year versus 2-year yields reached parity (temporarily inverted) for the first time since 2007. An inverted yield curve almost always precedes a recession. However, it’s usually early – sometimes a year passes before the recession officially commences. The panic into bonds drove 30-year rates to record lows. The nosedive […]

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GOLD UPDATE AUGUST 13, 2019

Tue, 13 Aug 2019

  Gold probed the upper limit of the resistance band between $1525 – $1550 reaching $1546.10 this morning before falling apart. Futures collapsed to $1488.90 by 10 AM and prices are bouncing. Yesterday’s breakout above $1525, followed by today’s dynamic reversal supports an interim top. Silver reached $17.49 before collapsing to $16.51 intraday. The short-term […]

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AFTERNOON UPDATE 3:30 PM

Mon, 12 Aug 2019

  Gold futures broke higher from the consolidation pattern reaching $1531.50 intraday (currently $1523). Gold miners (GDX) are down 1.11% as I write and making fresh intraday lows. The non-confirmation is a warning. Gold would have to extend above $1535 to maintain today’s short-term breakout. Slipping back below $1510 would signal a potential top.

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GOLD REACHED SIGNIFICANT RESISTANCE

Thu, 8 Aug 2019

  Wednesday’s surge in gold above $1500 was fueled by stock market fears and a capitulating bond market. The 10-year treasury yield crashed to 1.59% on Wednesday, and an interim low is likely.   TREASURY YIELDS CAPITULATE: The move below 1.95% in 10-year treasury yields triggered multiple capitulation signals. The selloff reached a panic extreme […]

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GOLD SETS ITS SIGHTS ON $1500

Tue, 6 Aug 2019

  The June breakout above $1370 signaled a new bull market in gold. The initial surge took gold to $1442.90 before prices entered a running consolidation. A “running consolidation” has an upward bias due to enthusiastic buying versus a traditional downward sloping correction. Monday’s close above $1470 registered a short-term breakout, and this wave higher […]

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