Gold prices broke higher on Friday over stock market fears. Prices closed above $1310, and it looks like the 6-month low bottomed in May. Gold miners broke higher from their triangle consolidations at the 45-day cycle turning point. A little upside follow-through next week will support a new advance. Silver and Platinum are lagging […]
Continue Reading →It looks like the trade negotiations between the US and China imploded. China backed out of the previous deal. Some believe China is stalling in hopes that Trump will lose the 2020 election so they can negotiate with a different president. Precious metals and miners have been grinding lower for about three months. I […]
Continue Reading →-US DOLLAR- The dollar is a little overbought. However, it looks like prices broke above 5-month resistance at 97.70. Progressive closes above 98.00 would confirm. If established, that would likely keep the pressure on precious metals. -GOLD WEEKLY- The weekly gold chart reveals an extensive consolidation starting after the initial surge to $1377 in […]
Continue Reading →Over the last few years whenever gold approaches the $1360 level, the price action gets a little volatile…perhaps even violent. One day the short-term model supports an upside breakout – the next day a failure. It’s like two heavyweight boxers going at it. You know somebody’s going to take a nap, but you’re not […]
Continue Reading →What a wild week – Monday and Tuesday ended slightly negative in precious metals, and we received short-term sell signals into Wednesday’s close. Those signals were quickly annulled after Thursday’s weak retail sales numbers. By Friday’s close, the preceding bull flags in metals and miners were restored. The tail-end of an intermediate cycle (up […]
Continue Reading →After some deliberation, I altered my short-term outlook for precious metals and miners last week. The rally out of the 45-day cycle low in miners was troubling me. The 5 to 7-day thrust was robust and on expanding volume. It’s rare for a move like that to terminate abruptly; there is almost always a […]
Continue Reading →Next week is shaping up to be pivotal. Wednesday’s FOMC announcement will set the tone. Market participants will be looking for guidance concerning interest rates and balance sheet reductions. From a cyclical and technical perspective, metals and miners are in the ideal position to form intermediate tops next week. Key resistance in gold arrives […]
Continue Reading →Big picture time for gold. It’s easy to get lost in the daily and weekly gyrations and lose sight of the broader perspective. Gold enjoyed a healthy uptrend for over a decade before peaking in 2011 and entering a bear market. Prices began a sideways chop starting in 2013, and trading has been difficult. […]
Continue Reading →To know where we are in the markets, first, we need to understand where we are in the broader economic landscape. The US stock market is weaker than I anticipated going into year-end. I felt stocks would reach new highs after an October slump. Instead, they have fallen to new lows. Bearishness abounds, and […]
Continue Reading →It looks like commodities, measured by the CRB are descending into multi-year lows. If I’m correct about oil, we should see a significant bottom in the first quarter (Q1) of 2019. Precious metals typically bottom before oil and the CRB. I think gold will bottom in December – January at the latest. The indecision […]
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