Fairly uneventful day. I’m studying correlated and uncorrelated assets to get a better view of where we are in the economy. I need to look deeper into bonds and interest rate differentials for clues. That’s what I’m working on tonight. -GDX VOLUME STUDY- On Balance Volume and MFI support a topping process instead […]
Continue Reading →Are US stocks in a bear market or is this just a correction? I can’t recall a bear market in stocks topping like this. It is almost always a process. Generally speaking, prices don’t just top and then plunge into a bear market. For that reason, I’ve viewed this as a broad, intermediate correction. […]
Continue Reading →Tomorrow will be a volatile and decisive day. Sometimes the initial reaction after a big Fed announcement is misleading. It can take a day or two to read between the lines and acquire the correct market direction. I’m a little surprised by the bidding up of miners heading into tomorrow’s announcement. However, there was […]
Continue Reading →Gold, Silver, and GDXJ are at critical support while the dollar appears to be breaking out of a 3-month bullish consolidation. Oil is down 28% in just 6-weeks; prices are approaching support. The decline has been relentless and taken on a life of its own. I think oil is capitulating and I’ll look to […]
Continue Reading →The seasonal pattern in gold supports an October high, a November decline, and a December Bottom. It looks like we got the October high at $1246. Next, we should see a November decline. I figured Tuesday’s elections or today’s Fed statement could trigger a potential selloff. If prices aren’t heading lower tomorrow, then we […]
Continue Reading →The stock market has been a little easier to forecast lately than gold and silver. I’m not sure why…maybe it’s because metals are so easily manipulated. Nevertheless, I think the market provided some clues today. Tomorrow’s price action could confirm. It looks like the stock market is heading higher and precious metals are about […]
Continue Reading →The Democrats had a good night and took back the House. The Republicans maintained control of the Senate. The market’s response thus far has been mixed and somewhat tempered. Gold is at $1233 up roughly 0.54% overnight. It would have to clear the $1240 level to support another attempt at exceeding the October $1246 […]
Continue Reading →Tonight’s report will be brief. I’ll release a full summary tomorrow. -GOLD- Gold finished below the 10-day EMA. It doesn’t mean much until we see how markets respond tomorrow. -SILVER- Prices moved back to the middle of the range. I imagine we will see prices break free within the next 72-hours. Which direction […]
Continue Reading →The price action remains crazy before the midterm elections. Metals and miners have endured several explosive days up and down over the last 2-months. Significant follow-through lacked in every case. Will this time be different or was this another convincing trader trap? Whatever the case, I think things will get easier after next […]
Continue Reading →Not a lot to add tonight. The elections are a week away, and those results will shape our year-end outlook. Markets could remain choppy for the next week or so. I’ll continue to look for directional clues and update daily. I don’t expect to make any significant trades until after the elections. However, I […]
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